X/Twitter could have simply reached a brand new consumer excessive, with proprietor Elon Musk sharing this chart of the app’s month-to-month customers.

Yeah, there’s not loads of element to go on, as Musk has deliberately left off the X axis (ironic). However in line with Elon a minimum of, X is prospering, regardless of rising competitors, and stories of a broader consumer exodus, as Musk continues to re-shape the platform previously generally known as Twitter into his imaginative and prescient for an ‘all the pieces app’.

Which, after all, now features a full re-brand, with all of the ‘Twitter’ and chook references steadily being faraway from the platform. The newest on this entrance is that the X icon is now showing for some customers on cellular, which is a major step within the reformation of the app, and the realignment in the direction of Elon’s new providing.

Prefer it or not, X is coming, and whereas most reportage has advised that curiosity within the app is taking successful because of this, Musk’s information means that this isn’t really the case, with extra individuals seemingly logging in to take a look at the most recent updates.

Although on the similar time, Elon’s really growing a reasonably clear sample for a way he responds to detrimental information cycles concerning the app.

Again in November, after his preliminary takeover of Twitter, many analysts questioned how reducing 80% of the corporate’s workers would affect utilization. Musk responded by declaring that consumer numbers had ‘elevated considerably all over the world for the reason that deal was introduced’.

Shortly after this, Elon informed then-Twitter workers that the corporate may slide into chapter 11 as a result of state of its general efficiency, which triggered one other flood of detrimental stories concerning the app.

Musk’s response:

New consumer sign-ups reached an all-time excessive, a part of one other spherical of constructive utilization indicators shared by Elon and Co.

The identical sample was evident once more earlier this month, following the launch of Meta’s Twitter clone app Threads.

Amid the early hype, which noticed 100 million individuals signing up inside days of the launch, Musk shared this:

And now, with the platform within the midst of a sudden re-brand, and Threads reportedly seeing extra engagement because of this (observe: Threads additionally added a ‘Following’ feed this week), Musk has once more come out with some new record-high utilization determine, which is seemingly a way to reassure advertisers that his app is definitely doing positive, regardless of what would look like dangerous shifts.

However I don’t know, I’m unsure that I belief the numbers popping out of X HQ.

As you might recall, in July final 12 months, as Elon sought to wriggle out of his $44 billion provide for the app, Musk’s authorized workforce argued that Twitter wasn’t really value all that cash as a result of excessive quantity of bot profiles that it had included in its lively consumer figures.

Earlier Twitter administration had lengthy held that the variety of faux profiles within the app did not exceed 5% of its whole mDAU rely, based mostly by itself sampling. However Musk claimed that it was really a lot greater than this, together with his personal evaluation displaying that as much as  33% of then-active Twitter profiles have been fakes.

Elon ultimately settled on it being a more modest 20% of Twitter’s total user count, (whereas noting that it was probably a lot greater). However even at 20%, that will imply that, on the time, 50 million Twitter customers have been really bots, as a minimum, in line with Musk and his workforce.

But, since Elon’s taken over on the app, he appears to have fully forgotten about these findings. Twitter has since added 15 million extra day by day actives to its whole mDAU rely, with Musk reporting that the app now has 252 million mDAU, which is on high of his new workforce eradicating bots and combating spam.

So, based mostly on Elon’s personal math, if he’s eliminated all of the bots (50 million profiles) and added 15 million new customers, that will imply that Twitter/X has added 65 million new, actual human customers in lower than a 12 months. That’s astronomically excessive progress for an app that’s struggled to construct its viewers over time.

It’s doable, I assume, however most unlikely, whereas the bounce to 540 million month-to-month customers can be a giant, huge leap from the 368 million MAU that Twitter was reported to have final 12 months.

While you additionally add to this the stories that Elon oversaw a program designed to mislead Tesla drivers about battery vary, has repeatedly over-promised on the provision of self-driving, and proposed his Hyperloop venture to delay a possible high-speed rail venture (and promote extra automobiles), amongst different campaigns of misinformation, it’s onerous to completely belief the info that he posts from his X account.

So perhaps that is true, perhaps X has seen dramatic and admittedly unbelievable progress within the face of rising challenges. However as you possibly can inform, I’m personally fairly skeptical about it.

How you are feeling about the identical is all the way down to your interpretations of Musk and his actions, however basically, X could also be rising at a really sturdy price, regardless of repeated proclamations of its loss of life.

 Perhaps that influences your utilization of the app.